The European HVAC market is projected to grow from $68.8 billion in 2024 to $99.27 billion by 2030, at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 6.3%, according to a new report by ResearchAndMarkets.com.
Growth is fueled by rising construction activity, increased investment in sustainable buildings, expanding urbanization, and evolving climate conditions. Western Europe leads the regional market, holding over 56% of the share in 2024 and expected to grow at a CAGR of 6.60% through 2030.
Air conditioning systems are the dominant product in Western Europe, driven by higher temperatures, urban development, and strong consumer demand. Southern Europe is seeing increased demand for cooling systems due to extended heatwaves, while colder areas like the Nordics and Eastern Europe report rising demand for heating solutions.
Regulatory frameworks, such as the EU’s Eco-design and Energy Labelling Framework, are encouraging adoption of energy-efficient systems. Post-pandemic awareness of indoor air quality is also driving demand for HVAC solutions with technologies like HEPA filtration, UV-C disinfection, and demand-controlled ventilation (DCV).
Technological innovation, including IoT-based climate control and smart features, is playing a key role in market expansion. Smart connectivity, automation, and real-time energy monitoring are increasingly integral to HVAC product offerings.
However, the sector faces headwinds from global trade tensions. In 2024 and 2025, tariffs and anti-dumping duties on HVAC components imported from Asia increased costs for European manufacturers. These pressures are particularly challenging for smaller import-reliant firms, prompting a shift toward local supply chains and more agile operations.
The report highlights that the market's future will depend on companies' ability to combine sustainability with advanced technologies to meet evolving environmental and regulatory standards.