The Japan Refrigeration and Air Conditioning Industry Association (JRAIA) has just summarized the estimated results of 2016 air conditioner (AC) demand in the main countries around the world. These estimates are performed by the JRAIA’s Air Conditioning Global Committee every year and were collected this time for AC demand in the main countries during the past six years from 2011 to 2016.
Note: The AC demand summarized in this document stands for the total AC demand for houses, buildings, and other structures comprising demand of “Room Air Conditioners (RAC),” including window type and small-sized split type ACs as well as “Packaged Air Conditioners (PAC).” Breakdown for RAC demand is given only from 2014 to 2016.
1. Overview
1) Overall AC Demand
The 2016 world AC demand is estimated to reach 102.31 million units with a 2.9%increase compared with the previous year. When dividing the 2016 AC demand into the main markets of Japan, China, Asian countries other than Japan and China, Europe, North America, and other countries, the largest market is China, whose demand reached 40.59 million units with a 3.5% increase. Chinese demand occupies 39.7% of the total world demand. The second largest market is Asia, excluding Japan and China, whose demand reached 16.41 million units with a 8.4%increase. The third largest market is North America, whose demand reached 14.60 million units with a 1.8% increase.
Japan reached 9.15 million units with a 2.8% increase, followed by Latin America with 6.47 million units and a 11.7% decrease, and Europe with 6.07 million units and a 12.2% increase.
2) “Room Air Conditioners (RAC)”
The 2016 world RAC demand is estimated to reach 88.81 million units with a 2.9%increase compared with the previous year. The largest market is China, whose demand reached 38.41 million units with a 3.5% increase. The second largest market is Asia, excluding Japan and China, whose demand reached 14.93 million units with a 8.8% increase. The third largest market is Japan, whose demand reached 8.35 million units with a 3.1% increase.
North America reached 8.04 million units with a 0.9% decrease, followed by Latin America with 5.78 million units and a 12.2% decrease, and Europe with 5.37 million units and a 13.4% increase.
3) “Packaged Air Conditioners (PAC)”
The 2016 world PAC demand is estimated to reach 13.50 million units with a 3.0%increase compared with the previous year. The largest market is North America, whose demand reached 6.57 million units with a 5.2% increase. The second largest market is China, whose demand reached 2.18 million units with a 2.8% increase. The third largest market is Asia, excluding the countries of Japan and China, whose demand reached 1.49 million units with a 4.6% increase. Japan reached 0.79 million units with a 0.1% decrease, followed by Europe with 0.70 million units and a 3.5% increase, and Middle East with 0.66 million units and a 4.1% decrease.
Note: The graph shows RAC and PAC demand by region from 2011 to 2016. Look grath in the news begin.
1) Scope and Division of Products
The targeted ACs are used for houses, buildings, and other structures, and completed units including heat pump types for both cooling and heating. Portable type ACs and fan coil units used for hydronic system are excluded.
RAC demand consists of window type and small-sized split type ACs as well as residential-use multi systems.
PAC demand consists of commercial-use medium/large-sized split type ACs, remote condenser type ACs, single packaged ACs, and VRF systems, including unitary type ACs and unitary type heat pumps that are mainstream in North America.
2) Method to Survey
The JRAIA has collected and compiled the JRAIA market demand survey format reported by the member companies of the JRAIA’s Air Conditioning Global Committee, and projected the estimated demand in each major market.
* “Asia in total”: AC demand in Asia, excluding countries of Japan and China.
* Period: from January to December in the calendar year
* The AC demand in and before 2015 have been revised and adjusted as necessary.
* From 2012 onward, estimated demand of VRF systems has been listed to be included in PAC demand.
The VRF demand in each country is shown only if country demand exceeds 3,000 units. The same is listed in Japan for the fiscal year from April to March.
Source: www.jraia.or.jp